What’s the Deal With Cosmos in Russia?

Hello All!

a cold launch

a cold launch

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?” the blog that rarely breaks Earth’s gravitational pull.

In this week’s post we discuss a cancelled rocket launch in Russia and what that means for the Russian aeronautics and space industry. We’ll put some context into the situation by discussing the gallantry of rocketry in the Soviet era and what impact that has on restoring it in modern day Russia.

The Current: Cancelled!

On Friday June 27, Russia’s space agency Roscosmos postponed the much vaunted rocket Angara just before its scheduled takeoff. The space agency cited an unknown technical issue that was caught by the automated diagnostics system as the reason behind the cancellation. Roscosmos declared that the ‘minor technical issue’ would be resolved and that they would attempt the launch again on Saturday the 28th.

Cancelled!

Cancelled!

Once again though, the maiden voyage of the Angara was postponed again on Saturday and the rocket has been shelved indefinitely until the fixes can be made (the problems are still unknown). The Angara was supposed to be the headlining rocket of a new class of Russian space rockets that were to bring the Russian space and rocket program back into the first class international picture.

The string of rocket failures (all with Proton design rockets) in the past three years culminating with the much anticipated Angara delay (with President Putin watching live footage) has certainly taken the air out of the high hopes the Russians have had for their revamped program (at least for now). The Angara program was to be entirely Russian built – a program begun soon after the fall of the Soviet Union. The program has been successful in building rockets entirely made in Russia and, as was scheduled, to be launched in Russia as well at Plesetsk (a former Soviet missile site), in the North of the country. The program was designed to compete with privately run international competitors SpaceX and ArianeSpace.

Who is Angara?

The Angara rocket (named after a Siberian River) is heavier than its Proton design predecessors, uses a different fuel (liquid oxygen and kerosene instead of hydrazine), could carry up to 25 tons, and was making its first voyage into lower Earth’s orbit. But the industry and company, Krunichev Space center are the same that built the failed Proton rockets, such as the crash just last month carrying sophisticated satellite equipment.

The new launch site is also called into question. In an effort to make the program entirely Russian, the historic Baikonur facility in Kazakhstan was abandoned in favor of the Plesetsk Cosmodrome site – one of two new launch sites within Russia’s territory (the other under construction in Vostochny in the far East). One must wonder if there is a connection between the company, new site, and the rocket issues.

The all-Russia program is immensely important to President Putin who personally followed the events following Friday’s cancellation to make sure that Angara did not end up as another failed launch: ““Do not rush the work. Carefully analyze everything and report to me after an hour,” Putin told (Defense Minister) Shoigu.

A Whole Lot of Anticipation

that's a nice rocket

that’s a nice rocket

We can start to see why President Putin would be so personally invested in the space programs redevelopment once we take a close look at the economic implications of the Angara program. But it becomes even more so in its historical and cultural meaning for Russia.

Yes, the new program has been in place since 1994. Yes, the program has cost nearly $3 billion. But you see, being at the top of the class in rocketry and the space program used to be Russia’s thing. The Angara is supposed to be the rocket that starts to get some of that mojo back.

A Blast From the Past (who expected that headline?)

Symbol of Soviet physics success - Igor Kurchatov

Symbol of Soviet physics success – Igor Kurchatov

Science faced numerous challenges in the Soviet Union in pre-World War II years where scientists were undervalued in society and faced terrible repression if they were found to be a threat to the Kremlin in any way. The ‘Stalinist Purges’ as they were known, infamously erased many of the top minds in Soviet society in the late 1930s. The war, however, showed how valuable science (especially physics) was when applied to certain technology – namely ballistics for military purposes. The atomic bomb displayed to Stalin just how important and powerful the sciences could be – and duly plunged efforts (and finances and resources) into creating a Soviet bomb to match the Americans (which it was in 1949).

As the mostly clandestine scrambling for nuclear weaponry accelerated, the civilian technological developments were racing at mind-boggling speeds as well in the throes of the Cold War. While simultaneously developing intercontinental ballistic missiles to carry atomic weapons, the Soviets were also busy reaching milestones in space, showing their industrial might and the extent to which they had invested in science and technology.

Yuri Gagarin makes the first orbit around the Earth

Yuri Gagarin makes the first orbit around the Earth

By launching the first satellites, having the first human orbit the Earth, first space walk, and have the first craft land on the moon, the Soviets had reached a pinnacle in aeronautics that was astonishingly fast given the difficult political and economic barriers. The Soviet legacy began to tarnish following the American milestones from the moon and the continuing success of NASA, but Soviet rocketry remains a potent symbol today even after the devastating blows from the fall of the USSR to huge budget cuts and an exodus of scientists.

So, the Angara program is Putin’s hope for a restoration of Soviet glory days?

Well, that simplistic view is not quite what it seems.

The Exploring Bear: Ursa Major

A successful Angara space flight would begin to put Russia back on the map as a major world player. Much like we saw in the Sochi Olympic opening ceremony, Russia is hoping to revamp its once vaunted industrial might – to show the world that the old bear is not hibernating any more – that Russia today is worthy of respect.

Putin personally getting involved in Angara's development

Putin personally getting involved in Angara’s development

One can make arguments that the long term investment in Russian rocketry is part of the effort, along with increased political involvement (see Ukraine, Georgia, and Syria), to command more respect from global leaders after the USSR’s collapse, but to make the connection is a bit speculative.

I think it is important to note the individual effort to which Russia is going with its Angara program – to accomplish it completely using Russian materials, Russian design, and Russian bases. Going away from the Baikonur facility in Kazakhstan (which it had a long term lease on) is moving away from a facility that is also used by the U.S. to send astronauts to the International Space Station to a location where it has complete control. Perhaps this is also a symbol of breaking away from international cooperation (which the ISS continues to be).

It’s clear that since the Russians invested so much in the program, they’re not abandoning their project after their failures thus far. This is a project upon which much is weighing: historical pride, national investment, and international fame – not something that Putin would give up anytime soon.

Until the next suborbital transflight,

Your Faithful Historian and Observer,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and Further Reads:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/28/world/europe/russia-abruptly-cancels-rocket-launch.html?ref=europe

Holloway, David. Stalin and the Bomb. Yale University Press, 1994.

http://rt.com/news/168868-russia-rocket-angara-posponed/

http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/russia-gearing-up-for-launch-of-first-post-soviet-rocket/502608.html

http://www.astronautix.com/articles/rusempty.htm

 

 

Posted in Europe, Science, U.S. | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

What’s the Deal With a Minimum Wage Hike?

Hello All!

How much to move the cliffhanger?

How much to move the cliffhanger?

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?” the blog that loves a good hike, even without a view at the top.

In this week’s post, we’ll venture into the current debate surrounding the Federal minimum wage and how this fits into the larger social issues of income disparity and concentration of wealth in the United States.

As we delve into this political hot potato, we have to ask ourselves what the debate over the minimum wage is really about. In other words, what is the reason that the majority of Americans polled support the current offer of a raise to the minimum wage?

This political hot potato is loaded

This political hot potato is loaded

It is the ever-present and pervasive divide between those with wealth and opportunity and those whose windows for opportunities are few and are shrinking. It is this widening chasm of opportunity access that minimum wage supporters highlight and want policy makers to address.

Let’s look at current efforts to raise the minimum wage, the historical use and goals of the minimum wage in the U.S. and from there, we can gain a clearer perspective on the debate.

The Current: A Sky-High Minimum Wage?

In the “in between” town of SeaTac, WA (between Seattle and Tacoma), residents voted last November to raise the local minimum wage to $15/hour, a 63% increase from the state minimum wage of $9.19/hr. As controversial as the hike itself was, thousands of employees of the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport are not eligible for the pay increase as several employers at the airport filed lawsuits and won. So for now (there are appeals being considered) wages for many airport workers are “grounded.”

A lot of green being discussed in the emerald city

A lot of green being discussed in the emerald city

Up Interstate 5 to Seattle, another minimum wage law is being considered with equal measure of political divide. The eyebrow-raising proposal to raise Washington state’s largest city’s minimum wage to $15/hr is indeed a large step to take and has drawn the ire of businesses small and large who are worried about having to absorb the increased wages.

Another controversial twist in the plot is that the new minimum wage would be implemented to workers who receive tips – a major reason why the restaurant industry in the emerald city is up in arms.

Several other states are currently considering minimum wage legislation such as Maryland while New Jersey and Connecticut have already passed wage increases ($8.25 and $10.10 respectively). The minimum wage issue has really sprung into the spotlight recently with fast food worker strikes, D.C.’s living wage ordinance, and President Obama focusing on the issue with his State of the Union Address and his executive order raising the minimum wage to $10.10 for certain Federal workers.

The U.S. Senate is currently attempting to debate a change to the minimum wage. The bill (Fair Minimum Wage Act 2013) would amend the original Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 to raise the minimum wage to $8.20 the first year, $9.15 the second, $10.10 after 2 years and index the wage to the Consumer Price Index in years afterwards.

not up for the rotunda

Debating before debating

The bill, introduced by Senate Democrats, cannot even make the Senate floor for debate because of its controversial nature and heavy lobbying from opposing voices – mostly business and conservative groups. So though the general public has voiced support for a raise, Congressional action has been non-existent.

Why has the push for a higher minimum wage been taken up a notch in the past year?

Mind the Gap

The push for a higher minimum wage is part of a realization that income inequality, the gap between rich and poor, has increased too far in the last four decades and that access to opportunity and social mobility has decreased as a result.

Much has been made of the amount of wealth held by a small portion of the population (the 1% vs. the 99%) with the top 20% income earners controlling 93% of total income, but it usually stops there. More than recognizing that the wealthiest Americans control most of the money, we need to explain what this means for everyone.

Below is a non-exclusive list of life factors and expenses that one might look at in a typical family budget. What income inequality has shown is that this budget is not a source of stress for a decreasing few, while it has become often unattainable or the predictor of poverty for the increasing majority.

This budget includes:

  • Housing:  Unable to own your own home (less expensive in the long run compared to renting) or live in safe locations with access to quality schools, grocery stores, health providers, or parks. This map shows the required minimum wage to live in different counties around the country – easily outpacing the Federal minimum wage in most counties.

    expensive building blocks

    expensive building blocks

  • Childcare: The extreme costs of childcare force many families to sacrifice work or risk putting children in dangerous circumstances, profiled here in this PBS Newshour segment. This often sacrifices one parent’s income or severely limits a single mother’s ability to provide.
  • Employment: For many people, working multiple jobs is the only way to make enough money to pay for the essentials, and even this combined with government assistance is not sufficient. Multiple jobs leave less time to raise families, add stress to households, and can be a risk to health.
  • Education: Having to live in poorer areas mean that local schools are often underfunded (by lower property taxes) creating a stark inequity between low income and high income areas, reducing the chances for academic achievement, higher education and social mobility.

    A doctor's visit could be a bank breaker

    A doctor’s visit could be a bank breaker

  • Healthcare: Those folks who have healthcare included as a part of their employment are part of a decreasing population. With the implementation of the Affordable Care Act, more people should be able to find a plan through an exchange, but the mindblowing costs of healthcare along with many states’ refusal to expand Medicaid provide costs that are unaffordable to many households.

The point of all this is that more and more Americans are facing situations in which the basics of living are becoming unaffordable and that windows of opportunity to move up are closing. Inequality should be measured with more than just income, but since income has a high connection to opportunity, it is a good indicator.

More than just income inequality though, more than “the rich get richer”, the gap is in access to opportunity. Take education, for example. The number one predictor of academic achievement today is family income: a recipe for decreasing social mobility for lower income Americans.

The minimum wage fits into this picture by providing a baseline of how individuals can provide the basics for their household from a minimum wage job and whether the value of the minimum wage has kept pace. The answer is unequivocally, no. Hence, the stagnancy of the minimum wage has contributed to inequality of opportunity.

You're about to hear my two cents. Does that make sense?

You’re about to hear my two cents. Does that make sense?

Haven’t we always had a minimum wage? And, why hasn’t the minimum wage been tied to inflation since the beginning? Wouldn’t that make sense? To get a sense of the purpose of the minimum wage as well as the political wrangling surrounding the subject, let’s take a look at  its long and controversial history.

A Fair Day’s Work

The first efforts to bring about a minimum wage coincided with other protections for laborers such as collective bargaining, worker safety, shorter hours, and other issues. These measures were initiated at the state level and meant to protect primarily women and children as the workforce changed from an agrarian economy to an industrial one.

Beginning as early as 1840 in the U.S., measures to protect workers were initiated as President Van Buren issued an executive order establishing a 10 hour work day for government workers. Several states followed with similar measures between 1840 – 1860 and 8 hour work days followed for Federal employees in 1868.

mutton chops and minimum wages

Van Buren had a progressive agenda to protect workers, but was thwarted politically in Congress.

The first minimum wage law was passed in Massachusetts in 1913 and 14 other states and D.C. followed between 1912 – 1923. But these laws were rendered toothless by a Supreme Court case, Adkins v. Children’s Hospital in 1923 which ruled that D.C.’s minimum wage law violated the “due process of the 5th Amendment” by interfering with a worker’s liberty of contract. This interference meant that the D.C. law was “getting in the way” of workers possibly bargaining for a higher wage. In addition, the court argued that since the 1918 law was meant to protect women workers, it was considered out of date because women were no longer disenfranchised in 1923, following the passage of the 19th Amendment granting women the right to vote.

As a result of the court’s decision, state minimum wage laws across the country were either struck down or became strictly advisory, making them unenforceable. The 5-3 court decision was controversial, with Chief Justice William Howard Taft (the former President) dissenting, writing that minimum wages offer:

the benefit of the general class of employees in whose interest the law is passed, and so to that of the community at large.”

and protect employees because

“They are peculiarly subject to the overreaching of the harsh and greedy employer.”

Surprisingly, Taft was in favor of the minimum wage.

Surprisingly, Taft was in favor of the minimum wage.

 

and associate Justice Holmes asserted that Congress has a right to pass laws that protect the health and well being of workers:

to remove conditions leading to ill health, immorality and the deterioration of the race, no one would deny to be within the scope of constitutional legislation.”

So, the Supreme Court was relatively split on the minimum wage issue and whether the government had the authority to intervene in the free market to impose a minimum wage. Adkins v. Children’s Hospital was later overturned in 1937, but the debate over how much government should be able to be a part of the market was the question at stake here.

Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938

Interestingly, labor unions initially attempted to block legislation that limited hours and brought minimum wages to the table. This was mostly because labor groups worried that a minimum wage really would mean a maximum wage for laborers, but also because most of the large umbrella unions (AFL for craft trades, CIO for industrial labor) had men as the majority of their membership. The Great Depression forced the groups to realize that all workers needed protection from economic panics. Political wrangling between the two largest union groups delayed passage of a comprehensive labor standards bill.

Hillman had comprehensive labor vision

Hillman had comprehensive labor vision

2 main players in the 1930’s were instrumental in bringing forth President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s desire for a comprehensive labor standards law to protect all workers, men and women. Sidney Hillman, who helped create the Congress of Industrial Organizations (CIO) with John L. Lewis along with Frances Perkins, the Secretary of Labor under President Roosevelt.

Hillman had created the Amalgamated Clothing Workers of America union and was a staunch supporter of labor standards to protect workers:

“He was a lonely if not solitary voice, demanding national action on unemployment insurance, low cost housing, public works, the 5 day work week, and minimum wages.”

Perkins meanwhile had devoted her efforts to carrying out FDR’s mission of protecting Americans through labor standards as he had done as Governor of New York. Perkins was put in charge of drafting such a piece of legislation and Hillman, given his adamant support of the issue was asked to assist Perkins with the bill which was initially submitted in 1937. The bill included a $0.40/hour minimum wage and created a labor standards board that would establish maximum hours by industry with a floor at 40 hours per week.

the force behind FDR's agenda

the force behind FDR’s agenda

The American Federation of Labor (AFL) used its influence to attempt to block key parts of the bill which it saw as overly partial to the influence of Hillman and the CIO. This political wrangling back and forth saw measures watered down, such as key industries being removed from the influence of the labor standards board and delayed passage of the bill until 1938. President Roosevelt showed his exasperation over the delay during his State of the Union address in 1938:

“We are seeking, of course, only legislation to end starvation wages and intolerable hours; more desirable wages are and continue to be the product of collective bargaining.”

Roosevelt’s message was simple: laborers should not be receiving wages that don’t allow them to provide the basic necessities and that since the Supreme Court had already overturned their decision on Adkins v Children’s Hospital the year before, it had been decided that minimum wages did not violate the 5th Amendment. Soon after, the Fair Labor Standards Act was passed through Congress in 1938 implementing  the $0.40 / hour minimum wage for certain workers.

The benefits of the Labor Standards Law were immediate and impressive. By 1941, according to the Department of Labor, over 700,000 workers wages had been raised to the required $0.25/hr and the $0.40 minimum was covering all workers by 1943. After initial opposition, the AFL and other labor groups had grown to see the minimum wage as a success, helping to lobby for a $1 minimum wage in 1946.

From the FLSA to the FMWA

One of the drawbacks to the initial minimum wage of the FLSA of 1938 was the absence of a minimum wage adjusted for inflation. Therefore, unless Congress raises the minimum wage, it loses buying power every year (things usually cost more over time while your wage stayed stagnant). Congress regularly raised the wage between 1940 and 1970, but did not continue the process in the 1980s. Two increases in the wage in the 1990’s and one in 2009 have left the purchasing power of the subsistence wage stagnant at a 22% lower rate than the wage’s peak in 1968.

Sen. Harkin (IA) attempting to fix the FLSA

Sen. Harkin (IA) attempting to fix the FLSA with the FMWA

So, all of the basic necessities mentioned earlier now take up more of the earnings of minimum wage employees.

The latest proposal to raise the minimum wage, the Fair Minimum Wage Act would gradually raise the minimum to $10.10 over a couple of years that would be indexed to the Consumer Price Index and include a higher sub-minimum wage (for tipped workers).

It should be noted that most employers had and still have no intention of having their workers starve by paying them next to nothing. Before the FLSA, most employers paid their workers what was cost effective and was based on what the labor market demanded. Other employers set their own company culture based around fair wages for a fair day’s work, such as Henry Ford when he implemented a $5/day min. wage for his workers in 1934. Given this information, however, wages that were “cost effective” for employers often did not provide sufficient resources for employees and many employees were exploited whether they were immigrants, women, children, or a different race.

Taking this all into account, why has the minimum wage been so controversial? and why is the Fair Minimum Wage Act so important?

Conclusion: Diluting the Conversation to Obfuscate Inequality

The movement behind the original minimum wage laws had as its ultimate goal to decrease inequality and provide improved welfare for the least well off. We saw this in labor legislation and its defense by the justice system. The opposition to the minimum wage both at the state and federal level derives from the desire to have less government involvement in the free market and to reduce the number of Americans receiving assistance from Uncle Sam. This argument against the minimum wage extends to today with the hot potato now being juggled in Congress.

But what are opponents of the FMWA and the minimum wage arguing?

min. wage critics argue that a rise will lead to her getting zero income

min. wage critics argue that a rise will lead to her getting zero income

The most common argument against the minimum wage comes from an economic perspective, that if you require employers to raise worker’s wages, employers will cut back on employee hours and the number of jobs.

This will, the theory goes, price workers out of the job market by making the fewer number of jobs more competitive, leaving the less skilled out of the workforce and therefore hurting the very people the that wage intends to help. In other words, the minimum wage is, according to critics, a “job killer.”

From all the research done on minimum wages and their effects (and their is a ton of research) we can say that with modest increases in the subsistence wage (such as in the FWMA), there appears to be few job losses as a result. Some studies have shown job losses and reduced hours, but the overall effect is a net gain in earnings for the vast majority of low income workers – disproving the notion that employers will make giant cuts to employment from minimum wage hikes.

Not your typical minimum wage workers

Not your typical minimum wage workers

Critics also argue that recipients of minimum wage are usually not from low income households, the “wealthy teenager summer job” argument. But this is countered by the facts of who would benefit from the FWMA:

  • 84% are over 20 years old
  • 54% of the benefits from the wage increase would go to the bottom 1/3 of the income bracket
  • Women and minorities are over-represented as recipients compared to their percentage of the workforce
  • The average affected worker brings home 1/2 of the family earnings

It is true that wages are not the only sources of income for low income Americans. Benefits such as food stamps, access to Medicaid, and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) all help to supplement low income families. Minimum wage opponents argue that the EITC is sufficient enough to keep workers afloat. But the EITC only arrives once a year through tax refunds, and since it’s a work incentive, can put downward pressure on wages – meaning that a higher minimum wage should be a complement.

The divide seems impassible

The divide seems impassible

Are critics of the minimum wage really concerned about low income workers losing work according to their theory? Or are they only concerned about the influence of government and putting more in the hands of the poor?

With less taxes levied on the rich than in any other wealthy country, with the incomes of the top rising extremely fast with lower incomes stagnant, the intense critique against the minimum wage is a bit hard to understand. The reality of wealth distribution pushes in the other direction, with a maximum wage being a reasonable conjecture for addressing inequality.

Why does income inequality in the U.S. need to be addressed with the minimum wage increase as a start?

For people like Akilarose Thompson:

“To put it in perspective, yesterday I got paid, today I have not a dollar in my pocket,” said Akilarose Thompson, 24.

Thompson has worked at McDonalds for almost a year, serving customers on the cash register or on the drive-thru window. She got a pay rise in June and now earns $8.28 an hour – three cents above Illinois’s minimum wage of $8.25. Thompson works a second job too, at Red Lobster, but still has to go to food banks to support her and her 15-month-old daughter.

“Sometimes two or three a month. Lots of times you can only go to the same one (food bank) once a month, so I find different ones to go to. I have to in order to put food on the table,” she said.

“It is so depressing. You put a smile on because you’re in customer service and you have to. But on the inside it really breaks you down when you’re always at work but you’re always broke.”

The hardest thing, Thompson said, is the compromises she is forced to make because she does not earn enough money. She lives in West Humboldt Park, an area blighted by drug dealing. She worries about not being able to provide for her daughter.

“It would be life changing,” Thompson said (on the minimum wage rise). “I would be able to move and that is my sole thing right now. I have to get my daughter into a better neighbourhood. I have to.

“So if I was able to afford that then I could walk with my head held high. No more crying at night. Because you can’t cry in front of the kids because they’ll know something is wrong.”

A situation like Ms. Thompson’s is not atypical, it is not an apparition, it is not the result of poor work ethic, it is the chance result of being born in the United States: the land of shrinking opportunity.

Will the minimum wage be the fix that decreases income inequality perfectly? No, of course not, there is no quick fix to the social issue of income inequality. But a minimum wage increase does provide a much needed boost for 17 million American families like Ms. Thompson’s and would be a step in the right direction in reducing the great income and opportunity divide in our nation.

Until the next loaded hot potato,

Your Faithful Historian,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and Further Reads:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/national/county-rental-wages/index.html

http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c113:S.460:

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/seatac-airport-workers-fight-exclusion-15-minimum-wage/

http://www.aei.org/papers/economics/measuring-inequality-one-size-does-not-fit-all/

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=4075

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2014/05/minimum-wage

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2013/07/19/who-makes-minimum-wage/

http://baselinescenario.com/2009/07/25/inequality-will-wilkinson-paul-krugman/

Clifford Thies, The First Minimum Wage Laws, Cato Journal Volume 1, 1991. http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/1991/1/cj10n3-7.pdf

Howard Samuel, Troubled Passage: The Labor Movement and the Fair Labor Standards Act, Monthly Labor Review, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2000. http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2000/12/art3full.pdf

Schlesinger Jr., Arthur M., The Almanac of American History, Bramhall House, 1983.

Posted in Economy, Politics, Social Issues, U.S. | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

What’s the Deal With a New Counter-Terrorism Strategy?

Hello All!

Dishing out support

Dishing out support

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?”, the blog that also offers indirect support to complex issues.

In this week’s edition, we’ll discuss the strategy for the United States Armed Forces to train the military and security forces of foreign countries in place of direct US military intervention.

Will this strategy to improve local security be more effective against terror networks than direct military takeover or invasion?

Let’s take a look at some insurgent and terror groups, the allies involved in combating terror, and what counter-terrorism strategies have been effective in the past.

The Current: Backseat Drivers

a growing problem

a growing problem

The many-headed hydra of Islamist extremism has begun to drastically alter the landscape of governments and security around the world. Nowhere is this more prominent than in several countries across the Sahara desert in Africa. In the last few years, several extremist groups have taken root and stirred up violence:

  • In Mali, we saw an extremist group attempt to take control over the northern part of the country and fought the Malian government (which had been taken over in a coup) only to be beaten back by supporting French troop intervention.
  • In Nigeria, Boko Haram has been using terror as a weapon in the North of the country killing civilians for religious and political reasons. The Nigerian government has struggled to contain and reduce the group’s attacks.
  • In Libya, militants have used the vacuum of security left after the fall of Muammar Qaddafi to control weapons and spread extremism across the porous borders to the Sahara.
  • In Somalia, where instability and militant power has sapped the country of normalcy for years, Al Shabab continues to threaten the fledgling government in Mogadishu.
  • In South Sudan, contested land between Sudan and South Sudan have been fought over by militias since South Sudan’s independence in 2011.

In his State of the Union address on January 28, President Obama outlined several issues on foreign policy that would be the focus of the United States Armed Forces in Africa (AFRICOM). The central focus in terms of security (outside of Afghanistan) has revolved around new methods of counter-terrorism operations that would be put into practice to prevent similar cases as those listed above.

Marching away from direct intervention

Marching away from direct intervention

The new plan is to use the accumulated knowledge from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to help governments in Africa cope with militant groups by training other country’s military forces. Considering the enormous resources it takes to run a full scale invasion (see Operation Iraqi Freedom), the Obama administration realized that it must use a combination of American training and intelligence in tandem with in country forces to provide security and to dilute the presence and power of terror networks.

The training strategy is based off of the great “learning experiences” of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, where many military tactics failed to take root and form permanent secure alliances. Instead, the counter-terrorism operations will focus on training troops to build relationships with communities, promote economic and social mobility, along with providing security. This was one of the hard lessons learned by the U.S. Army and General David Petraeus in Iraq when they found an effective counter-terror tactic to be paying off locals not to attack U.S. forces and by providing aid.

Alternatively, the U.S. has based intelligence operations in several locations across the continent. In places like Burkina Faso, the U.S. has been basing drone reconnaissance missions to locate and identify targets. Using drones for intelligence gathering and attacking targets is a very controversial subject as the U.S. has seen in Pakistan and Yemen.

Will African security be reaping the benefits of intelligence?

Will African security be reaping the benefits of intelligence?

So, instead of being the head honcho, the United States is playing more of a backseat driver role.

Let’s look at where the United States strategy is going to be concentrated and why extremism has taken root in the Sahel.

Areas of Insurgency: Sahel of a Hard Time

Over the last decade or more, the United States has attempted to build a presence in several African countries along the southern portion of the Sahara desert where insurgent groups and terror outfits have sprung up. Many groups have wreaked havoc in their own countries for various purposes, but the U.S. main concern are groups who are affiliated with Al-Qaeda or other terror networks.

Why are these areas experiencing a rise in insurgencies and insecurity?

It turns out that:

  1. permeable borders
  2. distrust among neighboring countries
  3. corrupt or weak governance
  4. ethnic conflicts
  5. religious differences
  6. and limited economic opportunities

all provide fertile ground for extreme ideology and violent action.

Marking an uptick in violence

Marking an uptick in violence

Take Nigeria for instance (3, 4, 5, and 6).

In the North of the country, the Hausa-Fulani Muslim group Boko Haram (meaning “Western education is forbidden”) was created in 2000 in exasperation to corrupt government contracts that left disputed land out of their hands. Boko Haram has carried on a tradition of violence that has been frequent since Nigeria’s independence. By attacking public centers, places of worship (both Christian and Muslim), and schools, the group is attempting to gain control of the region by threatening those that oppose their views.

The group has found some voices of favor despite their reign of violence. Residents in northern cities like Maidiguri and Kano despise the inherent corruption in the Nigerian government that has been endemic since Nigeria’s independence in 1960 with roots in the colonial era. Boko Haram has plenty of recruits with an unequal distribution of power  between North and South combined with severely limited economic opportunities.


Insurgent groups have found a niche in areas where governance and security are weak. Even if the majority of the local population disagrees with their philosophies, groups are gaining strength because they do provide benefits for some communities. Case in point is Ansar al-Sharia in Benghazi, Libya (1, 2).

Life is violent when militias fill the security void

Life is violent when militias fill the security void

After the 2011 revolution and civil war in Libya ousted the Qaddafi regime, many militia groups that had helped defeat the pro-Qaddafi forces kept their weapons and were determined to make an impact on their newly independent country. Many of the groups were from the Eastern portion of the country, centered in Benghazi. As the new government was being organized in Tripoli, the local militia groups reigned over local towns and cities. Even after the government was created and much of the administrative dust had settled in Tripoli, the central government has remained quite powerless to provide security on the national level and still relies on local militias and groups to perform the task.

Why is the central government in Libya dependent on local militias still to provide security nearly 3 years after the fall of Qaddafi?

It turns out that many groups have simply become embedded in local communities. Unable to project their authority, the central government is helpless to stop extremist groups like Ansar al-Sharia who have become a fabric of the Benghazi society – despite many Libyans being opposed to their strict Islamist ideology:

“People attacked Ansar al-Sharia a few months ago because they were angry. But now they’re asking them to come back because there is no police… the people prefer to be protected by their own.”

In addition to providing protection, Ansar al-Sharia also provides social services such as food distribution and medical assistance. Recognizing their stance, Ansar al-Sharia has as its goal to now use their influence to have the Libyan constitution be one that adheres to strict sharia law. This of course does not sit well with many, especially in foreign circles where the group is blamed for the September 2012 attack on the American Embassy in Benghazi.

Violence between ethnic groups in the South of the country have reopened old wounds that had been patched by Qaddafi’s controlling regime. This is the region where a power vacuum has allowed many groups to flourish whose aim is to enact radical change with newly acquired weapons that have flown freely across borders.


 

More dangerous perhaps for counter terror operations has been the outflow of weapons from the Libyan civil war into the hands of rebel groups in other countries through the country’s porous southern border on the Sahara. The several separatist groups in northern Mali (1, 2, 3, 4, 6) provide a good demonstration of this and the problem of mistrust between African nations facing the same issue.

Azawad

Fighting for Azawad

Sensing the window of opportunity afforded by a military coup in Bamako, the Malian capital, groups such as Ansar al-Dine, Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), and the National Front for the Liberation of Azawad  (FLNA) began to take control of northern regions of Mali. The groups have their own agendas and goals. For example, Ansar al-dine wants to have sharia law implemented everywhere in Mali and the Muslim world. They operate under the umbrella of AQIM, but also include different local minority ethnic groups. AQIM seeks to equip and form jihadist militias across Africa to spread instability using weapons absorbed from the Libyan conflict and elsewhere.

The Tuaregs, a minority nomadic ethnic group in the Sahara, have wished for many years to become an autonomous republic outside of the control of Bamako in Mali’s south. Mali’s government had used the tactic of buying support and using friendly local leaders to secure the North. With a coup in early 2012, the Tuareg took up arms (mostly from Libya) to carve out their own territory in the desert. Islamist groups such as Ansar al-Dine supported the Tuareg initially, but soon carved their own path of overall jihad against civilians and non-supporters of their ideals. The ensuing chaos drew in the French armed forces in early 2013 as they traveled to their former colony to drive away many of the Islamist militias with support from Malian and other African forces.

The French army can roll through in tanks too

The French army can roll through in tanks too

Since the French and international forces intervention, constitutional order and integrity for Mali has returned but many insurgent forces remain and confidence in the new government is very low.  The newly elected Malian government has been slow to restore basic services and local clashes between Malian forces and militant groups have prevented humanitarian aid from reaching most of the North. This could be fueling a feedback loop of renewed violence:

Inability of government to provide basic services leads to  mistrust in government due to corruption leads to  anti-establishment activity or violence leads to → intervention and widespread conflict leads to → peace and restoration of the state authority leads to an inability to provide basic services to citizens.

As the possible feedback loop suggests, “Malian authorities cannot afford to repeat past, unfulfilled promises of change.” Otherwise, northern Mali could remain a fertile recruiting ground for insurgency.

Lessons for International Cooperation: No Quick Fixes

Counter terrorism requires an adjustable wrench

Counter terrorism requires an adjustable wrench

The cause of insurgency and ethnic violence is complex and solutions to combating terrorist groups (local or global) require answers in matching complexity. The United States has learned this lesson the hard way in the wars of Afghanistan and Iraq: the quick fix of direct military intervention and government installation is often more detrimental than intended.

How to move forward then?

Peace keeping operations and governments understand the seriousness of the situation, but must look to the root cause of the rise of the insurgent group. Is it a lack of security or government authority(Libya)? Is it a land dispute brought on by government corruption (Nigeria)? Is it lawlessness, poverty, and a government that doesn’t provide basic services(Mali)?

Where terror groups have gained support among the population, anti-terror operations must do the same but to a greater extent. If terror groups provide local security or police, the government or peace keeping operations must step in and provide legitimate security (without threatening civilians or allowing attacks). If terror groups provide basic services and aid, governments must be there to provide legitimate services and aid without the weight of corruption or threats. If terror groups are recruiting young men and women to fight in jihad against governments because there are no opportunities for young people, governments and counter-terror operations must provide jobs, aid, education, and money to support themselves and their government.

Assistance beyond shade for the displaced

Assistance beyond shade for the displaced

Many of these boil down to creating a legitimate government where there clearly isn’t any at the moment. Where government is absent or non-existent, this is the niche into which the United States must step in a partnership with the host country. The United States has already attempted to set up shop where they see potential threats. The effort by U.S. intelligence and counter terror operations has had several pitfalls and in some cases has failed outright. For example, the U.S. had been working with Malian forces for several years on counter-terror operations before the recent crisis, but without a stable host government, the training became moot.

In addition to counter-terror support from the U.S., countries like Mali should look to their neighbors for help. Insecure borders and governments that look the other way on insurgent groups allow terrorist groups to grow, recruit, train, and commit atrocities across the Sahel. Countries need to do more to share information, gain local citizen trust, and collaborate on security operations. Mistrust between nations is often deep, but the consequences of doing nothing will hurt every country in the long run.

Conclusion: Counter-Relapse

So, given the extent to which these groups are dug in and wreaking havoc in their respective regions, what new strategies can the U.S. and its allies take to counter?

Relapse to desert security

Relapse to desert security

Here is a short list that matches up with and makes a few additions to the Department of Defense strategy:

  • Use diplomatic power to urge presidents of African nations not just to host American drone and special forces operations, but to rapidly ensure fair delivery and execution of basic services and emergency aid, and to build trust with adjacent countries.
  • Use existing bases across the region to work with and train local police and military forces.
  • In training forces, stress the importance of building relationships with local leaders, investigating military malpractice, ending the use of community based armed groups for security, delivering social services, and  ensuring legitimate security without the threat of corruption or ethnic favoritism.
  • The backbone of all these training operations must be a government that is working to reverse corruption and provide protection for all of its citizens ( a tough task for any government).
  • Above all, use patience. Building relationships requires time and there is no “quick fix” for defeating shifty insurgent groups.

If the United States strategy sharpens its focus on these loci, it will use its power (both soft and hard) to help develop legitimate democracies and prevent relapse into failed states and hotbeds for extremists.

It is important to note that the terror groups listed here is by no means a comprehensive one; it is a microcosm in a complex region that also extends to the horn of Africa affecting countries like Uganda, South Sudan, Burundi, Cameroon, Kenya, and most frighteningly in the Central African Republic (CAR).

Contain the flame

Contain the flame

The current horror in the CAR is worrying enough from a regional and international standpoint excluding the immediate militias involved. If the situation broke down further into genocide or a full scale civil war, it would likely pull in several jihadist groups and hamper the counter-terror efforts of AFRICOM.

Beyond the strategy of counter terror operations, the displacement of civilians and the unspeakable violence has been extremely difficult to watch. The extreme poverty of communities in the Sahara desert has been exacerbated by violence to hamper any efforts by peacekeepers or Aid efforts. The U.S. and its counter-terror strategy must keep the local population in mind as a top, if not the top, priority in any strategy. International groups must do their best to prevent crimes against humanity and genocide and set up secure refugee zones. 20 years after the Rwandan genocide, the world must pull its blinders off to the “hole in the heart of Africa.”

These will all be areas to watch in 2014 as the U.S. and the world all have an interest in the region beyond countering terror.

Until the next reactionary handbook,

Your Faithful Historian,

Eric G. Prileson

 

Sources and Further Reads:

http://www.e-ir.info/2013/11/03/boko-haram-identity-and-the-limits-of-counter-terrorism/

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/niger-rapidly-emerging-as-a-key-us-partner/2013/04/14/3d3b260c-a38c-11e2-ac00-8ef7caef5e00_story.html

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/05/world/africa/us-takes-training-role-in-africa-as-threats-grow-and-budgets-shrink.html?ref=africa&_r=0

http://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/africa-special-issue

http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/Middle%20East%20North%20Africa/North%20Africa/libya/130-divided-we-stand-libyas-enduring-conflicts.pdf

http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/africa/west-africa/nigeria/216-curbing-violence-in-nigeria-ii-the-boko-haram-insurgency.aspx

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2013/01/20131139522812326.html

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/02/20/libyan-weapons-al-qaeda-north-africa_n_2727326.html

http://www.un.org/en/terrorism/

Posted in Africa, American Intervention, International Affairs, U.S. | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What’s the Deal With Unions in the South?

Hello All!

All ears

All ears

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?” the blog that counsels on worker’s councils from its own consulate.

In this week’s edition, we’ll take a look at an important vote for unions at a car manufacturing  center in Tennessee from February. The vote was a key symbol in looking at how organized labor in the United States has decreased dramatically for several decades and what the future of labor unions holds.

We’ll review the history of organized labor in the country, especially in the South and make a conjecture about whether this is an irreversible trend in employment and what it means for key American industries in the future.

The Current: What the Volk wants

In a closely watched and intense vote that spiked national debate and tremendous outside spending and influence, employees of the Volkswagen plant in Chattanooga, TN voted 712 – 626 to not join the United Automobile Workers.

While both union and non-union supporters had predicted victory, the effort to gain union members in a traditionally anti-union region was seen as an important first step in a more comprehensive campaign to expand UAW membership in the South- notably to the Nissan plant in Smyrna, TN and the Mercedes plant in Alabama.

yoga means union, but union means  loss of subsidies from Bob Corker

yoga means union, but union means loss of subsidies from Bob Corker

The move towards a union faced serious political hurdles and threats from lawmakers. Had the plant unionized, the Tennessee governor Bill Haslem, Senator Bob Corker, and state senator Bo Watson asserted that parts suppliers would have located elsewhere and that subsidies would have been taken away from the plant.

Several states have been passing or considering “right to work” laws or legislation that gives states the right to determine whether an employee is required to join a union or not for a particular job. “Right to work” laws are highly controversial and are hotly debated around the country with union supporters contending the legislation is meant to weaken unions and contracts that supply steady workers rights and access to health care. Supporters of “right to work” see the law as giving individuals the freedom of choosing whether they want to join a union or not.

In addition, anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist painted with a new medium by creating the “third party” Center for Worker Freedom which put up anti-union ad campaigns in and around Chattanooga, warning that the city might become “the next Detroit.” (the CWF was created specifically for this vote).

The people's auto has decided to stay out of the people's vote

The people’s auto has decided to stay out of the people’s vote

For its part, Volkswagen had stayed neutral on the issue and urged outsiders to not meddle in the vote. The German car maker has unions and works councils in all of its other 105 plants worldwide. Had the union won the vote to join the UAW, members would have collaborated with Volkswagen to create a German-style workers council – committees of white and blue collar managers and employees to develop factory policies.

After the loss of the vote, UAW representatives and union supporters at the plant immediately continued to press for a worker’s council – something that VW supports. But setting up a council without a pro-union vote is very difficult and may be impossible under U.S. labor law (no council has been set up before).

In addition, the UAW has filed an appeal with the U.S. government’s National Labor Relations Board seeking to overturn the vote and have a revote – again citing unfair intervention by outside interests against unionization. VW workers who voted against the union mentioned they already had good relations with their employer and an ability to bring up issues – therefore, making the idea of representation from a union unnecessary.

On the flip side, the UAW has been trying to extend their influence into foreign automaker plants in the South so that wages aren’t stagnant or depressed at the major American automaker plants in the North – part of an overall goal of decreasing the gap between rich and poor by raising blue collar/manufacturing wages.

But this begs an important question: Why did unions never form or establish themselves in the South in the first place?

Understanding this will help us answer the question of why Tennessee politicians and conservative voices opposed this unionization so vehemently. Let’s look further into the history of unionization in the U.S. and the culture of employment in the South to find these answers.

To Organize in the South…

Gompers helped start the strong tradition of organized labor in the industrial north

Gompers helped start the strong tradition of organized labor in the industrial north

Organized labor was delayed in its implementation in the southern United States. While the Knights of Labor formed in Philadelphia in 1869, and Samuel Gompers brought workers together to form the Federation of Organized Trades and Labor Unions (FOTLU) in 1881 and then later the American Federation of Labor (AF of L) in 1886, southern labor did not begin to organize seriously until the New Deal of the 1930s.

What reasons can we come up with as to why labor unions didn’t form in the South at the same time as the North?

  • Southern economy: the economy, as it had been since colonial days, was based primarily on agriculture and cash crops. The North on the other hand, had a more diverse economy with manufacturing centers and a higher concentration of laborers.
  • Type of Labor: Who was primarily working in the fields and crop distribution centers in the South? Slaves. Slavery certainly was not the only labor involved, but it did instill a culture of labor designed around lack of freedoms for workers even after the Civil War and the abolition of slavery.
  • Culture of Employment: Given the history of slavery in the South and the dependency of the economy on free labor, it is not too big of a stretch to conjecture that employers and landowners would continue similar practices of minimal rights for workers.

The South’s devastation from the Civil War and its agrarian economy both contributed to its delay to industrialize. Industries of various types such as textiles did develop in certain areas such as Charleston, South Carolina and Greensboro, NC, but often did not flourish in the South until after the Great Depression.

% of farms sharecropped 1865-1914

% of farms sharecropped 1865-1914

After the Civil War and the abolition of slavery, many newly freed blacks stayed in the South and were often tied to former plantations as sharecroppers. This kept many blacks in positions of debt to landowners – sometimes their former owners.

Sharecropping became the primary way of life for many in the South, black and white. Instead of moving or creating population centers with a diverse economy, much of the south continued to be an agrarian economy with a near-peasant workforce.

Other blacks and southerners migrated West to newly opened lands in Oklahoma, Texas, and to the North. This migration began to develop en masse during and following World War 1 when industrial labor gaps in the North in cities like Chicago offered an escape from the sharecroppers life.

Given the labor that was working as sharecroppers (former slaves) and Jim Crow laws, labor conditions were not ripe for a union. A culture that had existed for more than 150 years based on a hierarchical society and slave labor wasn’t going to reverse itself immediately. It wasn’t  until the 1930’s that a group tried to bring fair conditions for sharecroppers, both black and white in the South.

the STFU had a uniting agenda

the STFU had a uniting agenda

The Southern Tenant Farmers Union was created to implement the AAA (Agriculture Adjustment Act – a New Deal policy) fairly for both landowners and sharecroppers in the South. Previous attempts to bring rights to sharecroppers were met with serious resistance and intimidation; threats that were mirrored in other industries when they developed in southern cities.

The Factory in the South

As we mentioned earlier, industry was delayed in becoming part of the southern economy. When it did arrive, it often did so because of the lack of worker representation.

Many industries began to look to the South as a haven for doing business for two main factors: cheaper labor, and no established union “interference.” While unions had been instrumental in helping this country adopt fair labor standards and conditions into law in 1938 and help give workers a voice in their scheduling, pay, and free time, many businesses and companies considered them disruptive and politically dangerous.ihy9412081

To achieve many of labor’s gains, unions of course had to organize and strike – a process which of course delays production. Union victories often meant extra costs to employers, whether that meant higher wages or stricter implementation of safety standards. Employers expanding to the South would not find the same type of organized labor.

To avoid the complications and potential extra costs that came from worker representation, employers from the outset paid reasonable wages and sometimes provided decent worker housing and communities. While this did discourage unionization, eventually some southern factory workers became driven to organize.  When they did, they sought out the powerful umbrella unions from the North. Both the AFL and CIO competed to be the union representation in certain plants.

sockin it to the man

sockin it to the man

As more and more industry moved South in the 20th century, unions never achieved high rates of membership. This certainly did not mean there were no efforts to organize or that interest was low. In a multitude of industries from textiles to mining to leather to aluminum, to meat processing to farming, unions throughout the South began to form. It often was an uphill process with many barriers, though.

Don West was a lifetime activist and organizer in civil rights and unions helping to infiltrate mines, factories, and political circles to instigate change and social and economic progress. West describes harassment against his efforts of trying to organize mine workers in Kentucky:

“You see, then you couldn’t go to a miner’s home, even on a week end, go to a home and talk with him. You wouldn’t be in the house more than three or four minutes and there would be a knock on the door and someone would be there: “What you doing there, buddy? You don’t live here. You get back where you belong.” Three miners couldn’t meet on the street corner, stop and talk, exchange the time of day. They would be broken up by the gun thugs, you see… We’d just gotten in the house when suddenly at this door and this window and all there was an officer with a six shooter, just like a bunch of desperados were being taken, you know. Arrested. And they piled all my books and papers and everything into some trunks and boxes we had and took them along with us, down to the court house. They confiscated my books and my total library and they put us in jail. Accused me of conspiring to overthrow the government.”

West’s experience was not a unique one. Employers often had the support of local law enforcement to break up strikes, potential organizing, or civil rights activism. Activism was also fought vigorously by groups like the Ku Klux Klan who later burned down West’s house for his actions.

Given the difficulty in organizing and the barriers to worker representation created by the South’s employment culture, it becomes easier to see why union membership has stayed low. Sometimes, workers simply showed no interest in joining a union. Either companies barred worker organizing or the incentives for workers to organize didn’t trump the membership dues. Whereas union membership and community were often one and the same in some northern communities, the same culture was virtually non-existent in the South.plot unfolds

The failure for unions to establish a foothold in the South in the 20th century coincided with the decline of unions overall in the United States. Many opponents of New Deal policies and the power of labor attempted to limit unions and reverse some of the gains that had been made in the early 2oth century. From the Taft-Hartley Act of 1947 which, among other things, allowed employers to fire striking workers, to the McCarthy era witch hunts  that broke the power of socialists and communist factions of the left, and the strong-arm tactics of some union bosses all helped to decline union membership and sputter the formation of strong unions in the South.

Conclusion: 

So we learned that the South was slow to unionize because of its longtime agrarian economy and hierarchical social castes which created a culture of employment around few worker’s rights and discrimination.

Once industries began to move South to take advantage of cheaper labor and avoid powerful unions, some workers saw the advantage of representation, but faced severe discrimination, retribution, and threats. Much of the union and community culture that had developed in the North failed to take root down South.

So unions in the South did exist and have existed for a long time in many industries, but certainly they did not, and have not had the numbers and representation that existed in the North.

Though the UAW’s appeal to the NLRB is still forthcoming, we have to begin to wonder if the UAW’s efforts to spread unionization to foreign owned auto plants is in vain. If politicians are intent on using their power to stop unionization, maybe using the popular private employer’s idea of Worker’s Councils will be a way around the barriers to worker representation.

It will certainly be very interesting to see if the UAW’s appeal will be taken seriously by the Obama administration. If it does, many will cry foul, citing that the administration would be backing labor outright. Perhaps the UAW will see that some of their tactics which many have seen as “strong arm” are not being perceived positively in southern states and may adapt accordingly.

While politics will be played from both sides, this union vote was fascinating and an interesting spot to view the state of unions and labor and to think about what’s to come.

Until the next worker’s council vote,

Your faithful historian,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and Further Reads:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/15/business/volkswagen-workers-reject-forming-a-union.html

http://www.ncsl.org/research/labor-and-employment/right-to-work-laws-and-bills.aspx#chart

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/02/labor-unions-decline-can-turnaround

Louis Uchitelle, The Disposable American

http://docsouth.unc.edu/sohp/browse/topics.html?cat=17

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/union2.nr0.htm

http://www.aflcio.org/About/Our-History/Key-People-in-Labor-History/Samuel-Gompers-1850-1924

http://digital.library.okstate.edu/encyclopedia/entries/s/so016.html

Posted in Agriculture, Politics, U.S. | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

What’s the Deal With a Hook, Line, and Sinker for Hookworm?

Hello All!

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?” the blog that usually remembers to wear shoes outside.

hookworm

hookworm

In this week’s post, we’ll discuss a major breakthrough in the fight against hookworm, a parasitic agent that affects nearly 1 billion people around the world, mostly in poorer nations.

We’ll take a look at what hookworms do to humans, what the scientific breakthrough can do to help, and dig up some historical connections with this issue and others.

The Current: Hi, I’m Geno Type

Researchers at Washington University in St. Louis this month have successfully decoded the genome of one of the hookworms that infect humans, Necator Americanus. The hookworm is a type of parasitic nematode worm (helminth, if you prefer the scientific term) that lives inside the small intestine of humans feeding on blood. The parasite can be transmitted between humans via contact with human waste that is not properly disposed of – a common condition of areas with little infrastructure or plumbing.

hookworm lifecycle

hookworm lifecycle

The parasite can cause anemia, or blood loss, gastrointestinal issues and nutritional loss. More severely, in pregnant women, the hookworm infection can cause severe anemia which can lead to maternal death or newborn death. Its prevalence among the world’s population makes it one of the most common infections.

Decoding the genome of the worm allows scientists to identify specialized mechanisms, anti-inflammatories, that the worm uses to live unharmed by human immune systems. The decoding of the genome can help fight the parasite by finding specific genes to be inactivated by a vaccine. When a hookworm enters a host human body, usually through the skin of bare feet, it moves and remains undetected into the small intestine, suppressing molecules that initiate inflammation – an immune system response. Though the immune system does mount a response against the parasite, it is relatively ineffective at harming the hookworm. The difficulty in tracking hookworm infection in clinical patients has made it especially difficult for scientists to develop an effective preventive vaccine.

The breakthrough will allow scientists to develop effective treatments against the hookworm but also create anti-inflammatory medications to counter autoimmune diseases and allergies. These potential developments in addition to current vaccines will provide a formidable fight in helping infected people remain hookworm free.

But this news has also raised some ethical questions about what the best course of action is to take in combating hookworm.

  • Yes, the potential of a vaccine to be distributed would help a lot of people, but wouldn’t it more helpful to combat the direct cause of hookworm?
  • Shouldn’t more resources go towards developing better plumbing infrastructure and educational intiatives in poorer countries?
  • Shouldn’t our efforts go towards helping improve the economic situation – which will indirectly improve sanitation and overall well-being?
  • Aren’t other prevalent and more deadly diseases worthy of our attention as well?

All intrigue-worth questions for sure, but let’s review an issue that involved the United States to gain a valuable perspective.

Hookworm in the U.S. of A.

coprolites, baby!!

coprolites, baby!!

Archaeological evidence for hookworm infection in the Americas dates back to pre-Columbian times and other parts of the world to ancient times. Fecal fossils revealed the eggs and larvae of parasitic worms preserved with the ancient waste (lots of feces talk in this post!). As we know now about how humans become infected, the parasite was a common infection for most people around the world in warm regions unless they had access to indoor plumbing.

This means of course that the parasite was a huge problem for rural Americans in the warm climate of the American South. The persistent and frequent cases of “ground itch anemia” in school children led to several public health investigations as to the cause of the problem. Just after the turn of the 20th century, scientists were able to identify Necator Americanus or the hookworm, as the parasite to blame.

While many vaccinations and efforts were made to get rid of the parasite inside the human host, the chief cause of infection was not eliminated. Many rural regions of the South continued to lack the infrastructure necessary to provide indoor plumbing to prevent infection. It took until after World War 2 in the 1940s for the combination of vaccination, education, and plumbing infrastructure to significantly reduce the problem.

more hookworm

more hookworm

It is easy for Americans to be puzzled by the prevalence of the hookworm infection rate when it is virtually non-existent here now. But our own struggle with the hookworm infection should provide a poignant background to tackle the international prevalence of the parasite.

One for the Dogs

Many Americans might be more familiar with helminths like N. americanus if they’ve ever taken their pet to the vet. Most dogs require a de-worming medication or vaccine to protect against worms like hookworm. Canines were originally test animals for vaccines not only to protect them, but also to see how vaccines might work in humans. The original canine vaccine – a type of radiation vaccine – was successful as a vaccine, but not as a commercial product (veterinarians preferred dog owners returning to purchase routine vaccinations instead of one).

multiple vet visits??!!

multiple vet visits??!!

But it was significantly more difficult to use canines as testing models for human hookworm infection. As you might imagine, canine immune systems don’t react exactly like their owners. Further, it was not economically feasible to maintain lab animals for this type of testing.

The Progress

Thought many scientists and much research since 1910 has been dedicated to obtaining an effective hookworm vaccine, a great deal of effort in clinical trials and research has occurred in the last 13 years. In 2000, the Human Hookworm Vaccine Initiative was founded with funding from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation dedicated to creating an effective vaccine capable of eradicating hookworm around the globe.

ahh!! more hookworm!

ahh!! even more hookworm!

A vaccine antigen (Na-ASP-2 if you were curious as to its name) was eventually developed that began to show that the immune system could begin to mount a protective stance with the introduction of the antigen. After grants were awarded to the HHVI, clinical trials for  a couple of variants of the vaccine to be tested in rural Brazil began, but some had to be discontinued in 2007 because of allergic reactions in some participants.

Since then, multiple variants of antigen vaccines have been developed and manufactured with clinical testing done in rural sites around the globe as well as in the U.S. at research hospitals. As stated earlier, clinical testing for hookworm vaccines has proved extremely timely because of the nuances of the human immune response to infection and the difficulty in tracking infection. No doubt, progress has been made  in developing an effective vaccine that induces protection from the immune system against hookworm. The decoding of the hookworm genome only enhances the progress made so far by targeting specific areas.

Conclusion: One True Solution – Many Birds, One Stone

So as we can see, while the decoding of the hookworm genome is a remarkable achievement and one that has great potential, it is hardly the final nail in the coffin for the parasite.

Let’s review briefly what we learned today about your new favorite helminth:

  • Hookworm infection is one of the most common in the world, affecting around 1 Billion people.
  • The parasitic infection can cause serious problems like anemia and nutritional deficiency in children and pregnant women.
  • Vaccines that protect against the parasite are very difficult to create because of the hookworm’s ability to survive unharmed in the human body.
  • Decoding the hookworm genome this month is a major breakthrough in understanding genetically how the hookworm evades the immune system and how vaccines can be better targeted against it.

But what about those thought-provoking questions we asked earlier in the blog?

Ah yes, how could I forget? Well, instead of using third person answering techniques, let’s actually go ahead and address them right now.

As we saw in the U.S., the true solution to eradicating hookworm infection in humans is to have indoor plumbing infrastructure available for all. This would stop the transmission of hookworm from open latrines and waste systems to barefooted denizens. Not only would this prevent people from getting infected with hookworm, it would also prevent the many other diseases that are transmitted through poor sanitation, notably diarrhea.

But to reach this solution, we have to realize the immense scale of the problem. Nearly 36% of the world’s population, or 2.5 billion people lack access to improved sanitation. Yikes. This means that the definitive solution to hookworm is many years away unfortunately.

Given this timescale (even the U.S. took several decades to solve the issue) a mixed response of economic development and vaccine development would be the most appropriate answer. In my own opinion, not enough is being done to build proper sanitation facilities for everyone – so perhaps it is aid that needs more research and development to be better targeted.

Map of NTDs

Map of NTDs

Finally, one could argue that many other more deadly diseases garner more attention than hookworm. This is certainly a true statement given the prevalence and danger generated by Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs). But given the transmission methods of these diseases, better infrastructure and improved sanitation may be a solution as well.

Until the next infectious discussion is derived from a nematode,

Your Faithful Historian,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and Further Reads:

http://www.cdc.gov/parasites/hookworm/

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/01/140119142351.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily%2Ftop_news%2Ftop_science+%28ScienceDaily%3A+Top+News+–+Top+Science%29

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3323499/ (Pub  Med)

http://www.sabin.org/programs/vaccine-development/human-hookworm-vaccine

Stiles CW. Frequency of hookworm disease or ground itch anemia among public school children in Southern Florida. Public Health Rep. 1910;25:351–4

http://www.unicef.org/wash/index_3951.html

Posted in Health, International Affairs, Science, Social Issues | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What Was the Deal With 2013?

Hello All!

Hope it's postdated

Hope it’s postdated

In this week’s edition, we’ll forget it’s 2014 and continue to write 2013 on all letters and checks until March.

And now… for something completely different! A summary of the year 2013. We can’t describe everything that went on this year*, but we’ll look further into the stories that dominated the headlines, and those that slipped through them.

my historical analysis is also maple glazed

my historical analysis is also maple glazed

This year, we here at “What’s the Deal?” have decided to have a nice end to the year with some current events analysis that should go quite nicely with that spiral ham.

So sit back in your new wool socks, grab those sugar cookies by the new waffle maker and chew over some of the events of this year that made the headlines, and some that didn’t.

*editors here at “WTD” rejected continued propositions from (name redacted) to write a comprehensive summary of events from all 365 days.

The Current: A Remarkable Year

We said goodbye to a legend

We said goodbye to a legend

What can we say to sum up 2013? What were the lasting images, the important stories, and the people whose quotes have been engraved in our minds?

We must include the terrible, the dramatic, and the heart-wrenching; these moments are part of life and part of history. But we cannot neglect or forget the positive, the successes, and the uplifting. To ignore the underreported positives would be a disservice to the people who fought for justice, civil rights, created new technologies, and broke barriers.

Now, let’s stop the lectures and let’s get to the year that was!

Conflict

This unfortunately ever-present theme of humanity intensified this year in several areas of the world and with greater world coverage.

  • Syria: 

    the war; at a stalemate

    the war; at a stalemate

Nearly three years into the extremely violent civil war in Syria, neither the government forces under President Bashar al-Assad nor the myriad of rebel force groups have the clear upper hand.

In 2013, the war intensified with Assad’s forces using chemical weapons in August, nearly drawing in military force from the West. Diplomatic efforts to bring the two sides together to form a peace treaty are languishing – in the meantime, Assad’s airforce is beginning to pummel rebel holdings in Aleppo. With so many nations dragged into the conflict through refugees or supporting either side, or aiming for peace, it becomes harder to deescalate and easier for the conflict to destabilize the entire region (see Iraq).

  • Central Africa: 

    President Kiir, trading his cowboy hat for military garb

    President Kiir, trading his cowboy hat for military garb

While two conflicts in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and in Mali began to wind down in 2013, political instability and violence have risen to dramatic heights in the Central African Republic and in South Sudan. The CAR has seen their government dissolve amidst a rebel group that has pitted the majority Christians against minority Muslims. South Sudan has evolved from fighting against its former parent country (Sudan) and now faces extremely volatile rival groups and clans fighting for control.

  • Southeast Asia:

    burning in Burma

    the burning in Burma

In Thailand, battles against ethnic Malays continue a longstanding political conflict, and in Myanmar, the ethnic civil wars of the majority Burmese against the ethnic Karen, Kachin, and others also continued. Most distressingly within Myanmar was the religious atrocities committed against Muslims in Rakhine state by Buddhists. While much has been achieved towards creating a more open democratic society in Myanmar since 2011, these conflicts are only serving to hold back the country.

It’s All Politics, Baby

Topping the list of political developments in 2013 are the controversial: Voting Rights, Gay Rights, Gun Laws, Privacy, and Marijuana. And oh yeah, health care.

will gun policies move towards mental health care?

will gun policies move towards mental health care?

  • Since the shootings at Sandy Hook Elementary in December of 2012, new gun law proposals ranging from eliminating assault weapons to arming teachers in public schools have been floated. To the consternation of many, gun laws and background check laws have retained the status quo, as have the attacks: two school shootings in Colorado and Nevada, and a gunman shooting 12 at the Washington, D.C. Navy Yard.
  • In June, the Supreme Court overturned one key aspect of the 1965 Voting Rights Act which required Federal approval of any state voting laws in states which had a history of racial discrimination (Jim Crow states). Advocates of state Voter ID laws cheered, while civil rights groups severely criticized the court and worry about the restriction of voting for the poor and rural.
  • The Supreme Court also overturned a key part of the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) that had prevented same-sex spouses from gaining Federal benefits. Now, same-sex marriages that are legal in 16 states now will also come with the same federal benefits that heterosexual couples receive. The Supreme Court will likely hear further cases for and against state laws on Gay Marriage in 2014.

    A beacon of progressiveness in South America

    A beacon of progressiveness in South America

  • This year, voters in Colorado and Washington state approved a law to legalize cannabis going beyond the 15 other states that had decriminalized possession. Uruguay became the first country to legalize pot and many Central American countries are considering legalizing the drug as a new measure in combating drug violence. Both marijuana legislation and Gay marriage rights seem to be turning a significant tide after a long fight. Will more states join the fray in 2014?
  • In October, the new health care exchanges (marketplaces) that sell healthcare plans under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act opened to shoppers in the U.S. While lots of people attempted to sign up (a positive sign) before the December deadline, the capacity of many state websites and the federal website, was immediately overwhelmed. The inability of the website to accommodate healthcare shoppers along with issues of people unable to keep existing plans (depsite government reassurance to the contrary) has provided plenty of ammunition for opponents of the law. New health plans begin to kick in on January 1, 2014, but the controversy of the law has no set date to end. In total in 2013, approximately 2.1 million people signed up through the new healthcare system – about 1 million short of initial estimates.

    hopefully this intelligence can tell us how to balance security and individual freedoms and privacy

    hopefully all this intelligence can tell us how to balance security and individual freedoms and privacy

  • In perhaps one of the biggest revelations in the past decade, it was revealed that the National Security Agency has been acquiring massive amounts of metadata from phone calls, information from websites and emails, and spying on world leaders. Though this was and is still technically legal (on very fragile ground), many challenges to the law have been brought forth in addition to a large public backlash. The extent of the snooping was a surprise to many, though with the extreme size of the intelligence community, perhaps some of this should have been expected.

Instability and Revolution

I know what you’re thinking: “Don’t these two fall into the ‘conflict’ category?” Well, technically I suppose they can, but among the tens of different countries experiencing these tumults, it is helpful to separate those that are truly in a civil war with extreme refugee situations. While we could include most countries in this category, 2013 had a few which stood out in particular.

  • Egypt:

In 2013, Egypt was in the middle of the first year of its first elected President, Mohammad Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood. But on July 3 (unfortunately coinciding with my birthday) Mr. Morsi was removed from power by the military elite. Although there were many problems with Morsi’s government including dissolving the elected parliament and stuffing the judiciary and executive cabinet with Muslim Brothers, he was still removed from power via a coup (bolstered by popular protests), not a constitutional process (a common thread in Egyptian history).

Deposition and military coup: an Egyptian tradition since 1922

Deposition and military coup: an Egyptian tradition since 1922

Since his removal, and even during his presidency, the country has been bitterly divided – pitting secularists who applaud the ruling military regime versus Morsi’s mostly Islamic supporters. For months, the military regime has cracked down on protesters they label as terrorists and handing down stringent charges against the Muslim Brotherhood and its supporters. Though elections are scheduled for this coming year, the dreams of Tahrir Square and the Arab Spring have truly been squeezed in Egypt.

  • Iraq: 

President Nuri al-Maliki ‘s increasing rifts between his Shia/Sunni government have led to him punishing Sunni rivals and unleashing sectarian violence and sewing distrust in Maliki’s government. This security, initially held with help from the U.S.(2003-2011), has been breached by Islamist groups who have begun to grow and wreak havoc from Baghdad to Tikrit. The far reaching effects of the war in Syria have brought fighters back into Iraq and strive for their own Islamic State of Iraq.

  • Thailand: 

    pulling down democratic foundations

    pulling down democratic foundations

As we recently discussed in our last post, the transition of political participation for most of Thailand has led to a divided political landscape between the less well off rural, and the more educated urban middle classes. This juncture surfaced as protesters sounded off in November against the government of Yingluck Shinawatra after a midnight vote on an amnesty measure for her brother, the former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. The protests are still ongoing and the government has already called for elections, but it seems as if this will not solve the ongoing issue.

  • Turkey: 

Though the AK government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan is safe for now, the country is experiencing a backlash politically against the increasingly conservative leader. In June, thousands of protesters encamped in Istanbul fought with police over a proposal for construction in a public park – a movement that has turned into a protest against Erdogan’s increasingly conservative actions. In addition, Erdogan has soured in his relationship with the U.S. and its other NATO allies over Israel, Syria, and the West’s foreign policy. He may have to turn over power in 2014 to the current President (and much more popular) Abdullah Gul. Given Turkey’s strategic location and influence in the Middle East along with its newly acquired economic power, the U.S. would do well to repair frayed relations.

  • Nigeria: 

    on the move, but not defeated

    on the move, but not defeated

While Lagos, the commercial capital, is a bustling metropolis that shows the intense economic growth in Nigeria at a 6.5% growth rate, the overall political shape of the country is unfortunately degrading. In the country’s North, a militant group known as Boko Haram (or “western education is forbidden” – deemed a terrorist group by the U.S.) has been destabilizing the northern cities of Kano and Maidiguri and attempting to impose strict sharia law in the areas it controls. The group has been attacking churches, schools, and staging suicide bombings while fighting for control over these cities against the Nigerian military.

The efforts by President Goodluck Jonathan have so far been inadequate to protect civilians and quell the violence from the desert north. While we’ve written about the roots of this security issue in a prior post, other issues threaten Nigeria. Corruption that is an embedded culture in the Nigerian government threatens free elections and the welfare of the people. Poor infrastructure and shady dealings in oil are both weak spots in the economy. While the overall economy grew significantly in 2013, Nigeria faces extreme headwinds in providing security and prosperity to its citizens.

Elections!!

  • Kenya:

    Will the spoils of victory be spoiled by the ICC?

    Will the spoils of victory be spoiled by the ICC?

Many people worried that the presidential elections in Kenya this spring would have much of the same violence that occurred in the elections of 2008. This election was a pleasant surprise in the lack of violence as voter turnout was huge but no intertribal violence followed – even though the election results were disputed. Uhuru Kenyatta, the son of the first president of independent Kenya, and a Kikuyu was declared the winner of the Presidency. While the lack of tribal violence and the relatively clean elections are commendable, Mr. Kenyatta is still facing a big challenge. The International Criminal Court has found Mr. Kenyatta guilty of crimes against humanity for allegedly instigating the intertribal violence in the last election. His trial is still set to proceed, whether Mr. Kenyatta is present or not.

  • Chile: 

    Not taking a hands-off approach

    Not taking a hands-off approach

Chile had seen massive protests over the last 3 years mostly from young people who opposed a government plan to nix free higher education at public institutions (along with austerity cuts in other areas). Earlier in December, it was Michele Bachelet who won a resounding victory by appealing to the voters who favored continuing government programs instead of rejecting them. This is her second time as president, (her first term was 2006-2010) and will try and continue economic growth that the outgoing president Sebastian Pinera had initiated, but will try and close the gap between the wealthy and poor. Ms. Bachelet will try to implement reforms in elections, corporate taxes, and education.

  • New York City/Boston:

 Much like the election of Ms. Bachelet, America’s biggest city also voted for a progressive reformer bent on closing the gap between rich and poor in New York. Bill DeBlasio, the mayor elect in New York, will be staunchly different than the business minded outgoing Mayor Michael Bloomberg. While there were many gains for the city during Mr. Bloomberg’s tenure including reduced crime, upgraded tourist areas and overall economic growth, the difference between rich and poor has never been greater and some of the policies used to reach lower crime (such as the Stop and Frisk policy) are very controversial and opposed by Mr. DeBlasio. Many say the enormous cost of living in New York is the greatest threat to closing the gap and a tough task for Mr. DeBlasio will be to find how to make more affordable housing available to New Yorkers.

2 new mayoral leaders of the Northeast

2 new mayoral leaders of the Northeast

Another American city with skyrocketing housing prices working to control the gap between rich and poor is Boston, which elected Marty Walsh to replace the 20 year reign of outgoing Mayor Thomas Menino. Mr. Menino held tremendous sway over many influential groups and parts of the city, enabling him to build up decrepit parts of the city like the Seaport District and by attracting a highly educated workforce and high tech industries that followed.

Mr. Walsh will face much of the same challenges that Menino attempted to tackle but failed to achieve, such as reducing violent crime in neighborhoods such as Dorchester (Walsh’s boyhood neighborhood), reducing longstanding racial tensions throughout the city, increasing affordable housing, and improving education. The third item, education, was the main campaign theme of Mr. Walsh who knows that Bostonians want their children fairly educated without the threat of violence or lack of materials. Gentrification of several neighborhoods has forced many people from their apartments to find cheaper rent elsewhere. Bostonians spend a great majority of their income on housing and increasingly and many are finding living in the hub to be too expensive.

  • Iran: 

In June, Iran elected (from a select group approved by the Ayatollah) a new president, Hassan Rohani, to replace the outgoing, irascible President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. From the beginning, speculation abounded about the potential for Mr. Rohani and Mr. Obama to begin to repair the relationship that was once very close, but was torn into tatters following the Iranian Revolution in 1979 and has been brusque at best since (no leaders of the 2 countries has spoken since). While he has been no radical reformer for the Islamic Republic (he still has to answer to Ayatollah Khamenei) a phone call with President Obama in September broke the ice and a short-term nuclear deal was struck between Iran and the G-6 that stopped enrichment and allowed IAEA inspectors full access to formerly secret operations.

are the fingers crossed behind the split screen?

are the fingers crossed behind the split screen?

While many, including Israel’s president Binyamin Netanyahu (reelected in 2013) called the deal rotten and an appeasement to a country that wishes Israel harm, most believe the deal is an honest attempt to restore the tattered Iranian economy as well as halt the weapons making process. The confetti though, should be kept until a longer term deal can be made, and until Iran discontinues its financing of groups such as Hizbullah and others. The West is far from cozy-ing up to the Islamic Republic, but Mr. Rohani seems to be a much better person to work with than his predecessor.

  • Germany:

In the fall, Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Christian Democrats won reelection and formed a coalition government with the Social Democrats. Seen by many as the calm, pragmatic leader throughout the Euro crisis, her reputation as a steady hand at the helm poised to make difficult (often politically unpopular) decisions won her party a return to power in Berlin. One of the most pressing issues aside from problems stemming from the Euro crisis is the country’s energy policy, known as energiewiede. This policy was enacted to steer Germany sharply away from nuclear power towards wind and solar. Instead of a quick and easy transition to green power, a lack of wind infrastructure and capacity has forced Germany to revert back to consuming more coal; and increasingly, natural gas.

  • Venezuela:

    driving a bigger bus now

    driving a bigger bus now

Following the end of Hugo Chavez’s presidency when he lost his battle with cancer, his chosen successor, Nicolas Maduro won a disputed election against the mayor of Caracas and opposition leader Henrique Capriles. Mr. Maduro had a full monopoly on the media to use for his campaign and other advantages reserved for the successor in the Chavista regime. Mr. Maduro, a former bus driver, has followed Mr. Chavez’s policies of providing enormous public benefits while squeezing private businesses and blaming the opposition and the U.S. for its economic woes.

Discovery and Success!

Mars selfie

Mars selfie

  • The Curiosity rover continues to send fantastic photos, soil content, topographical information, and possible signs of ancient life on the red planet.
  • Studies have now been confirmed on the importance of gut microbes and the microbiome to overall human health. The microbiome is considered instrumental to understanding obesity, diabetes, malnourishment, and even AIDS.
  • Major advancements in cancer immunotherapy, or treatment using the bodies own immune system, have created a breakthrough in understanding how people may be able to live with cancer – a real success story in oncology.
  • In global development, three of the 8 Millennium Development Goals have been reached! While this success should be hailed and celebrated, there is no stoppage of the work that needs to be done. The success has been largely due to the economic growth in eastern Asia which in turn helped erase extreme poverty and hunger. Great work remains to be completed in education, combating neglected tropical diseases, and in promoting gender equality – arguably the most important.

    your ear will be ready in 24 hours!

    your ear will be ready in 24 hours!

  • Incredible creations in stereolithography/additive manufacturing, or 3D printing, have made this technology available to households beyond the lab so that anyone can create 3D models molded from a digital outlay. Most incredibly has been the creation of live human tissue using a type of 3D printing. This may make an organ donor waiting list a thing of the past and free up many lives that have been cut short for lack of availability.
  • While the global recession still has many reeling, much of the rich world has started to rebound including the U.S. which has posted records in the stock market and great gains in energy, and in overall economic growth. Unemployment, while still very high among young people and the long term unemployed has improved, lowering to 7% in November.

    Fulfillment of Article 1 - a cause celebre

    Fulfillment of Article 1 – a cause celebre

  • Meanwhile, while political gridlock caused the U.S. government to shutdown for 16 days in October, a light at the end of the tunnel appeared in December when a budget deal was passed and signed by the President. While this should be simply a business as usual activity for a governing body, we give Congress a thumbs up here for accomplishing something positive.

Disaster

Unfortunately, we must close the year on images that may leave us with feelings of sickness and guilt. 2013 saw incredible disasters from natural to man-made. Equally as incredible as the disasters themselves was the human response – a collective campaign to reverse the damages and rebound. What we learn from disasters makes better societies and so to end on this subject means that those affected are not forgotten nor alone.

An escalated terror alert

An escalated terror alert

  • Terror in Kenya, Russia, and the U.S., terrorist attacks shook societies in profound ways. In the wealthy shopping mall in Nairobi, Al-Shabab stormed the mall in a sophisticated attack aimed at unsettling the wealthy in Kenya and perhaps retaliating for military attacks against Al-Shabab in Somalia. The Boston Marathon bombings carried out by two Americans in April killed 3 and injured 160 others shocking the city and the world at an event that brings nations together. The city has responded in resounding fashion and resolve, helping to bring people together. In late December, two bombings in Russia supposedly perpetrated by separatist groups from Dagestan or Chechnya have tested confidence in security as the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi approach.

    unacceptable

    unacceptable

  • In April, the building collapse of the Rana Plaza housing thousands of garment workers in Dhaka, Bangladesh killed nearly 1,200 people in one of the worst workplace disasters ever. Workers were horrifyingly locked in, prevented from taking breaks, and working in a building with significant structural flaws and a lack of emergency exits. The disaster prompted global efforts to improve working conditions in Bangladesh and changes in the garment industry (which has been loath to change).typhoon-haiyan-131108
  • Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) was one of the largest storms ever recorded with record wind speeds and incredible devastation to the Philippines, Micronesia and Vietnam. To see the city of Tacloban reduced and flattened by a wall of water was heartwrenching and the devastation was ruthless, taking nearly 7,000 lives so far with higher counts unfortunately expected. Though the aid and administration was a bit slow to respond, and some rioting did occur, the international community has teamed up with President Aquino to provide funds, food, and emergency rescue and shelter with incredible force. Both governments and NGOs have worked tirelessly to fundraise, execute plans, and educate the world about the disaster. The work will take years and many people will unfortunately never see their homes or loved ones again, but time and again the world saw themselves in a vulnerable position and responded in solidarity with victims of the typhoon.

Conclusion: Let’s Wrap this up – preferably with a whole grain wrap

Wow! What a year it has been!

2013 will be written about as a pivotal year for many controversial issues such as intelligence, security, and health care. Remember though, that one year does not define these issues – these movements have often been wrestled with by governments for their entire existence. Much can be learned from 2013, but also forgotten.

As we keep an eye on the news, weather, and our personal lives in 2014, let’s keep in mind many of the accomplishments of the global community in 2013. It is helpful to reflect on the preceding year not just for nostalgia, but to also learn from mistakes, errors, bad policy, and issues that could have been prevented.

While the news of 2014 will too often focus on war, crime, disaster, and scandal, don’t forget to use our lessons of 2013 to promote global development, protect the vulnerable, and press for better polity for all.

10dec_unwomen_mdgweb_edit

Cheers to a positive and healthy 2014!!!

Your Faithful Historian,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and further reads:

http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/nigeria

http://www.economist.com/blogs/baobab/2013/12/fighting-south-sudan

http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/mdgpartner.shtml

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2013/12/overlooked-trends-of-2013-101491_Page2.html#.UsX5wPRDt8s

Posted in International Affairs, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

What’s the Deal With the Red Shirts in Thailand?

Hello All!

the color of the hour

the color of the hour

Welcome to another edition of “What’s the Deal?”, the blog that wonders what color shirt its supporters would wear.

In this week’s edition, we’ll:

  • examine a huge protest movement shaking the current government in Thailand. In a complex cycle of politics, a divided populace has become incensed over a new bill passed in the lower house of parliament and anger has turned against the ruling government.

As the violence in the Southeast Asian country escalates, we’ ll

  • take a look at why so many have people taken to the streets of Bangkok and
  • look at Thailand’s history to discover what politics may look like further down the road.

The Current: Barriers Were Meant to be Moved

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pulling out all the stops for this protest

On November 1, the lower house of Thailand’s National Assembly or Rathasapha, held a midnight vote and passed a new amnesty law – one that was rejected in the Senate. The bill would have pardoned nearly everyone that took part in the political upheaval in Thailand between 2004 and 2010. The bill was the latest attempt of the government of Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra and her Pheu Thai Party to extend a safe passage home to the former Prime Minister: Thaksin Shinawatra, the current PM’s brother who is exiled abroad.

In self-imposed exile since 2008 after being ousted from power by a military coup in 2006, Thaksin has been using his influence through his sister remotely since she was elected in 2011. His policies while in power and his possible return to Thailand are extremely polarizing in Thai politics; some valiantly are in favor, others are vigorously opposed. Mr. Thaksin, a former policeman and communications mogul was elected in 2001 and again in 2005. He was officially convicted of corruption in 2010.

Since the bill was introduced and passed, thousands of protesters have taken to the streets of Bangkok led by the opposition Democratic Party leader Suthep Thausugban with an aim to take down the government. Protesters have also increasingly included former government supporters who say the Shinawatra government has taken the issue too far.

leading the black shirts

leading the black shirts

The amnesty bill, which was ruled unconstitutional by a federal court, included pardons for not just Mr. Thaksin, but also the many soldiers and corrupt police who abused human rights during the political turmoil. The main point of contention still remains Mr. Thaksin: he is opposed mainly by middle class and business leaders in Thailand (whom remember his strong handed and sometimes corrupt practices) while still evoking strong support among the rural classes (who remember the spread of education, health care, and political opportunities).

The anti-government masses now have begun attempting to take over government buildings and clashing with pro-government supporters wearing their iconic “red shirts”. This has led to increasing violence in the past week. Thaksin “red shirt” supporters have been the targets of violent attacks in public spaces and during protests. At first passive, the security forces around Bangkok have now met with angry protesters using tear gas and moving angry crowds away from government facilities. Many casualties have been recorded thus far in the ruckus.

but does it work in the field?

but does it work in the field?

Although Prime Minister Shinawatra has many critics and her policies are controversial, such as the rice subsidy plan, her election and generally stable government was considered a good step for Thailand following the tumultuous and violent protests from 2006 – 2010. With the extremely negative reaction and low public opinion, the government and especially Thaksin must realize what a mistake the amnesty bill was to continue to be pressed and for him to attempt a return.

If Thailand’s history is any precedent (and we’ll use it as such), the military and security forces at the behest of the King, may use the pretext of insecurity to suspend the civilian government and retake the reins.

Familiar Notes, Repeating as if a Chorus

On the same page

On the same page

The election of Yingluck Shinawatra’s government seemed from the outset to be a good symbol of democracy for Thailand. But as we can see from its current tumult, many forces lie in the waiting and true power for the country still does not lie in the hands of the civilian government. The coup that forced Thaksin Shinawatra from power came as a result of political turmoil that, the military decided, had stretched the forces of democracy too far.

Unlike its Southeast Asian neighbors, Thailand was never officially colonized by a Western power between the 16th and 20th Centuries. Thus it was spared much of the economic and labor extraction along with the disruption of independence conflicts. In tandem with some of their neighbors (such as Indonesia), however, Thailand jumped from coup de tat to coup de tat for several decades as military leaders remained the ultimate lynchpin in determining the impact of a new civilian government on Thai politics.

Ultimately, Thailand is still coming to grips about what kind of government it wants and how its citizens should participate. The protests are part of the struggle of transition between an elite class making all political decisions to a more equal distribution of polity.

(If you’d like to avoid a long blog post, here’s your chance to get out now. I’ll wait…. No? you want to hear more about how Thailand’s history reflects on today’s protests? Ok! Great, here ya go!)

How does history Thai in?

  1. The Monarchy

The main ethnic group of Thailand (the Tai people) derived from Southern China and moved to occupy their current location in Southeast Asia in the 13th Century. The Tai created two major kingdoms: Sukhothai and Ayutthaya that developed a strong tradition of monarchy. They created the name “Thai” for themselves, meaning free people – a term to describe “freeing” the peoples of southeast Asia from the Khmer and other kingdoms.

the modern pledge of allegiance to the King

the modern pledge of allegiance to the King

Several principalities declared allegiance to one King, but had to be controlled – sometimes through military force. For instance, the Malay peoples on the southern peninsula were never fully integrated into the kingdom. This disparity in Thailand continues today with the violence in the southern tip of Thailand with Malay separatist groups.

Allegiance to the monarchy is a part of the culture in Thailand. Kings derived their divine power from the cultural influence of Hinduism – the theological backbone behind the majority Buddhist population. The King, or devaraja was considered an earthly representation of the Hindu god Shiva (the lord of the universe) and so was given the distinction of being “lord of the land.”

King Rama 1, stately in his military garb

King Rama 1, stately in his military garb

The Thai principalities frequently fought with surrounding kingdoms as they sought to expand in the 14th and 15th centuries.  They ran into trouble with the Burmese in the 16th century, however, as their powerful western neighbor ran the Thai kingdom as a vassal state after briefly conquering Bangkok. Thai independence was restored when King Naresuan drove the Burmese back to Bagan in 1600. The kings from the Ayutthaya kingdom into the modern unified Thai state from Bangkok are thus held in the highest esteem as historical figures and cultural heroes for their divine rule and their military protection.

2. Society set up

Much of what ails Thailand politics and civilian leadership today stems from its societal makeup and history of a very rigid system of distribution, known as sakdi na. The sakdi na stemmed from the mid 14th Century and lasted well into the 19th. Similar to other peasant-lord land systems like the feudal system in medieval Europe, the Thai kingdom consisted of a large labor class (phrai) working for the landowning class and nobility (nai) well into the 19th century. Phrai did not have many rights or freedoms and often consisted of different ethnic groups that Thai principalities had conquered.

Nobility included the King (the largest landowner), governors, military commanders, and court officials. Basically, if you worked for the King, you had it made – wealth and status were directly correlated to how you helped the crown. The King gave allotments of rice fields to these officials and lords in payment for services to the crown and the amount of land and labor a nai accumulated, the higher the social status he had.

the feudal system displayed in one chart

the feudal system displayed in one chart

Here in early Thai history, we see three key components of Thai culture that begin to show through the facade of a true republic: an exclusion of most of society (the phrai) from the political process, an omnipotent monarch who is believed to be divine, and the sakdi na system of trading benefits for services given to the government – a system with corruption as part of the design.

Modern Thai History: Cultural Pride in Keeping Out Fraying Influences

While the Thai embraced the introduction of western technology and trade, they successfully prevented any European colonial power from conquering them or turning them into a vassal state. This has created great pride in Thailand as a nation that was truly independent in Southeast Asia.

King Mongkut (Rama IV 1851- 1868) was a well read Buddhist monk before becoming King, learning English and making connections with Protestant missionaries. Mongkut realized that in order for Thailand (or Siam, as it was known in the 19th century) to remain independent and avoid the embarrassing treatment at the hands of European powers that occurred in China and Burma, Siam would have to collaborate with them. Instead of following his council and protecting domestic monopolies and avoiding making significant concessions, Mongkut signed the Treaty of Friendship and Commerce (known as the Bowring Treaty) with Great Britain and later signed treaties with the U.S. and France.

Siam, an island in a sea of colonization

Siam, an island in a sea of colonization

The treaties connected Siam to the world economy by providing free trade and significantly increased commerce with the West. Friendly relations with the West through business and politics kept Siam independent, but also had a profound influence on many aspects of Thai society. Influence from the West was seen in reforms in education, infrastructure development (like railroads), and replacing the semi-feudal system for centralized administration and Chinese immigrant labor. While the sakdi na system was technically abolished, it was still entrenched within the culture and a central administration still catered to corruption.

While Siam did lose territory it controlled in Cambodia from the French in the 1890s and lost Malay territory to the British in 1907, it still remained “master of its domain.” Reforms, independence, and good relations with the international community (Siam took the Allies side during WW1 and was part of the original League of Nations) made Siam a major player in world politics into the 20th century.

Hardly Coup-operative

The era of an absolute monarchy was ended by a bloodless coup in 1932; a transition of government which would manifest itself several times into the present day. Interestingly, although the coup members of military officers and politicians held Western ideas, none wanted to rid Thailand of the monarchy completely. The institution, therefore, remained in place as a constitutional monarchy and is still held in high esteem.

military garb? why not!

Decorated, but not elected

A militaristic nationalist government under a strongman named Phibun decided to shrewdly collaborate with Japan during WWII instead of possibly being occupied (he also changed the name of the country from Siam to Muang Thai, or Thailand). This was rewarded at first by the Japanese with the French controlled territory in Laos and Cambodia that Thailand had lost (a popular acquisition). Japan used Thailand as a base for soldiers and built a transport railroad as well. As the war dragged on, however, public opinion against Phibun’s government deteriorated as Allied forces began to bomb Bangkok and Japan used Thailand more as a conquered territory than an ally.

After Phibun was forced from office, the new government now was collaborating with the Allies and allowing them to use Thailand as a base. Phibun’s former co-conspirator, Pridi was elected and a new constitution was drafted in 1946 that planned a bicameral legislature with an elected lower house and a senate that was appointed by the lower house. The King though, did not have a part. Very young when selected for the monarch’s seat, the young King Bhumibol Adulyadej studied abroad and didn’t return until 1952.

Consecutive coups on 1947, 1952, 1957, and 1971 saw Phibun return to the helm of the government, 2 experiments with constitutional democracy, and a military dictatorship taking shape. Prominent military strongmen Sarit and Thanom and others justified their pseudo-martial law because of a lack of stability during the constitutional phase and the King backed their actions. This lack of stability stemmed from a continuous anti-communist stance by the Thai government – a stance that stepped on political freedoms of many in Thailand including separatist groups of Chinese and Malay ethnicity. Their government made a good partner for the U.S. in the Cold War and for stationing troops to combat communist combatants in Laos and Vietnam. In addition to the anti-communist stance, nationalist policies were made, such as a rice subsidy that benefited Thai rice farmers.

the New Left battles the military stronghold in Bangkok

the New Left battles the military stronghold in Bangkok

The mid 1970s was a microcosm of modern Thai history that started with a military dictatorship, transitioned to massive student led protest, a step down of military leaders and revising of the constitution and new political freedoms, and a breakdown of security and stability in the political process as political groups fought in the streets – a cyclical pattern.

A new constitution in 1978 included a bicameral legislature with an elected House of Representatives, but an appointed Senate. The Senate was filled with appointees who were chosen by the military could block the House on important issues such as the budget and national security. Through these coups, the King tended to back groups that were conservative in nature and that would maintain stability in order to retain the hold on a monarchy. Though King Bhumibol supported military leaders, he also supported tentative change to a parliamentary system where the military held a separate role. His support along with stronger political parties allowed the Prime Minister named Prem to hold onto office for several years and survive an attempted coup in 1981.

The pattern of military takeover (1991, 2006) continued along with appointed Prime Ministers (usually military leaders) leading the country between elections. While each of the governments during the latter half of the 2oth century had their own set of circumstances, the result was the same: an inability to hold a democratically elected government.

The Shinawatra Years: Rejected Reform

a change for Thailand

a change for Thailand

The crux of the current crisis stemmed from the election of Thaksin Shinawatra in 2001 and his reelection in 2005. Thaksin was so controversial because he changed politics in Thailand. Instead of representing solely the upper and middle classes surrounding Bangkok, Thaksin catered his policies to the rural poor and getting them involved in politics. Thaksin and his Thai Rak Thai party focused on developing rural education (which was well behind the wealthier urban populations) and overall economic growth. His populist policies along with an efficient and effective response during the devastating 2004 typhoon allowed him to be reelected in 2005.

But his populist government actions were never popular in Bangkok where the elite and middle class had been used to calling the shots for the Constitutional Monarchy. Those in power therefore used a scandal involving his telecommunications company to call for another coup to remove him in 2006. He has been in exile since 2008 as described above after being charged officially with corruption.

In 2010, massive protests by Thaksin supporters wearing their iconic “red shirts” violently clashed with security forces as the rural masses along with liberal student groups and others joined to protest the 2006 coup and corruption charges against Thaksin and rallied to bring him back into Thailand as their leader. While this goal wasn’t realized, Thaksin’s sister Yingluck was elected in 2011 to take over the helm.

Conclusion: recoup those coups

If you’ve made it this far in the blog post, pat yourself on the back! Nice job! It turns out, this is a subject I enjoy writing about – hopefully not too circumlocutively.

So, the current melee in Thailand is simply the latest in a long line of government replacements. Here’s a quick list to sum up the important things to take away from our lesson:

  • Thailand has a long history of excluding the poor and rural from the political process.
  • The Thai culture is deeply connected to the monarchy, its authority, and its decisions
  • A culture of corruption and exclusion through the sakdi na system
  • The Thai military and political figures have used their power and connection to the monarchy to disband any elected government many times in the 20th century.
  • The inclusion of the rural poor in the Thaksin era is part of the transition in Thai society that has been too fast and has brought out opposition protesters today.

So what will happen now? Will the military step in once again and replace Yingluck Shinawatra?

Yingluck, probably taking a call from her brother

What should I do with this one, Thaksin?

Ms. Yingluck seems to have recognized the ill that the amnesty bill has caused. She has offered to hold early elections, but has rejected the opposition calls to step down immediately or to create a “people’s council” to form a new government. The opposition has not backed down as of yet.

The birthday of King Bhumidol (who is revered by all) was December 5 and was supposed to be a day of peace and celebration for all Thais, but both sides seem to have dug in.

The opposition movement has had a valid beef; the amnesty bill was a rotten deal for both supporters of the Shinwatras and the opposition. Thaksin’s regime was tainted by heavy-handedness and corruption – his continued influence on the government is causing serious trouble. But the oppositions insistence on a complete change from the elected government is unnecessary and their increasingly violent actions are making the divide larger between the opposition and the red shirts.

To tread this precarious transition between a constitutional monarchy and full participation from all Thai will require slow and progressive change. This may mean more protests and difficulties, but bringing in all Thai for fair elections is something that the monarchy and military leaders should strive for.

Until the next rally in Bangkok (probably tomorrow),

Your Faithful Historian,

Eric G. Prileson

Sources and Further Reads:

Neher, Clark D. Politics in Southeast Asia. Schenkman Publishing Inc. 1979, pp. 27-41.

http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21589436-governments-latest-attempt-get-thaksin-shinawatra-back-has-united-almost-everyone-against

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/11/30/us-thailand-protest-idUSBRE9AT01S20131130

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/30/world/asia/thailand-protests.html?ref=world&_r=0

http://www.npr.org/2013/12/03/248303167/thai-protesters-swarm-into-govnment-house

http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/crisiswatch/crisiswatch-database.aspx?CountryIDs=%7b76949589-2EB7-430A-8A44-24A2594012CC%7d#results

http://bangkok.usembassy.gov/

http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query2/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+th0011)

http://www.siamese-heritage.org/jsspdf/1991/JSS_079_2f_Terwiel_BowringTreaty.pdf

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/home/2007/07/01/politics/A-brief-history-of-modern-Thai-politics-30038672.html

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